Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and prediction

The Chicago White Sox (44-30) host the Seattle Mariners (39-37) for a three-game set starting Friday at 8:10 p.m. ET on Guaranteed Rate Field. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Mariners vs. White Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Seattle had its five-game winning streak snapped with a 5-2 loss Wednesday vs. the Colorado Rockies, but the Mariners have won eight of their last 10 games.

Chicago broke its five-game road losing skid by beating the Pittsburgh Pirates 4-3 Wednesday and has won just four of the last 10 games.

Season series: White Sox lead 2-1.

LHP Yusei Kikuchi makes his 14th start for the Mariners. Kikuchi is 4-3 with a 3.46 ERA (80 2/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.04 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 this year.

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• Last outing: Win, 5-1, with 7 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 3 BB and 6 K vs. the Tampa Bay Rays June 18.
• vs. White Sox on the current roster: 39 at-bats with a .487/.500/.923 slash line, 4/1 K/BB, 3 HR and 12 RBIs.

LHP Carlos Rodon is on the hill for the White Sox. Rodon is 6-2 with a 1.83 ERA (73 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 0.84 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 12.8 K/9 over 12 starts.

• Last outing: No-decision with 7 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 8 K in Chicago's 2-1 loss at the Houston Astros June 18.
• vs. Mariners on the current roster: 23 at-bats with a .174/.321/.626 slash line, 11/4 K/BB, 0 HR and 0 RBI.

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Mariners at White Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:54 a.m. ET.

• Money line: Mariners +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | White Sox -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
• Against the spread/ATS: Mariners +1.5 (-125) | White Sox -1.5 (+105)
• Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Prediction

White Sox 6, Mariners 3

Money line (ML)

PASS despite my expectation that Chicago wins because the White Sox (-200) are a little more than I'm willing to pay against a Mariners team that has been on a roll lately whose starter has pitched a quality start in seven of his last eight outings.

Also, a vast majority of the market is backing the White Sox in this spot and I'm always leery about following a crowd of people in sports gambling.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the WHITE SOX -0.5 (-125) FIRST 5 INNINGS for 1 unit since they are lethal at home (27-12) and against left-handed starters (18-6) and Chicago has a decisive edge in the starting pitching matchup.

For instance, Rodon has a 1.56 FIP, .288 expected opponent's wOBA, .313 expected slugging percentage, an 85.9 mph exit velocity and a 39.3% strikeout rate vs. current Mariners hitters (28 plate appearances).

While Kikuchi has a 6.73 FIP, .555 expected opponent's wOBA, .707 expected slugging percentage, an 89.9 exit velocity and 12.9% strikeout rate against active White Sox batters (31 plate appearances).

The reason behind betting Chicago's First 5 Innings run line is Seattle has been feisty of late, was underrated entering the season and could make this a sweat for the White Sox in the late innings.

Over/Under (O/U)

"LEAN" to the UNDER 7.5 (-110) for a half unit because the White Sox have scored more than four runs once in their last 10 games and these teams have a combined 9-16 O/U record when these starters are on the mound.

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