Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays odds, picks and prediction
The Seattle Mariners (42-39) and Toronto Blue Jays (41-37) play the finale of their three-game series at Sahlen Field in Buffalo, N.Y., Thursday at 1:07 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Mariners vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Yusei Kikuchi is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. He is 5-3 with a 3.34 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 9.1 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 over 86 1/3 IP through 14 starts.
Kikuchi started slow but has put up an outstanding 2.44 ERA across his last 10 starts. In eight appearances on the road this year, he boasts a 2.89 ERA and 9.3 K/9.
LHP Hyun-Jin Ryu is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. He is 7-4 with a 3.41 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 and 1.9 BB/9 across 89 2/3 IP spanning 15 starts.
Ryu hasn't been pitching very well lately, as he posted a 4.88 ERA and an extremely low 4.0 K/9 in his five June starts. After recording double-digit swinging strikes seven times in his first nine starts, he has generated more than seven swings and misses just once in his last six outings.
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Mariners at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.
- Money line : Mariners +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Blue Jays -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS : Mariners +1.5 (-115) | Blue Jays -1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under : 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Mariners 5, Blue Jays 4
Money line (ML)
Toronto has the edge on offense, as it's fifth in wRC+ against lefties on the year, while Seattle checks in at 26th in the category. However, Kikuchi has been pitching far better than Ryu in recent weeks and gives the Mariners an excellent chance to come out on top.
Seattle has been playing very well lately, winning 11 of its last 15 games. The odds are certainly good enough here to wager on the M's staying hot. Take the MARINERS (+155).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
During Kikuchi's 10-start hot stretch, he has gone at least 6 innings in all but two outings and didn't allow more than 3 ER in any of them.
Even if the Mariners don't pull off the upset, they should keep it close throughout. Back the MARINERS +1.5 (-115).
Over/Under (O/U)
Even with Ryu struggling, the Seattle offense isn't a great bet to have a huge day against him.
On the other side, the Toronto bats are likely to have a hard time getting much going against Kikuchi. Look for this total to sneak in UNDER 9.5 (-105).
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