NBA

NBA playoff prop bets: Milwaukee Bucks Brook Lopez props for 7/3/2021

DataSkrive

Sportsbook Wire

Saturday's NBA Playoffs slate features the Milwaukee Bucks and some interesting betting options, including lines for Brook Lopez prop bets. The points over/under set for Lopez in Saturday's game against the Atlanta Hawks is 15.5.

Lopez has averaged 12.5 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.5 blocks so far this season while shooting 51.6% from the floor. Over his last five contests, he's posted 14.6 points and 1.6 blocks per game with a 66.7% rate of shooting from the field.

The Hawks are being picked to win in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals by oddsmakers, who list them as 2.5-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 216.5 points. The teams will hit the court on Saturday starting at 8:30 PM ET. Let's dig into some insights and stats to figure out how Lopez will perform in this matchup, especially as it pertains to his betting markets.

Brook Lopez prop bets breakdown

Points Over/Under : 15.5
Over Odds : -125
Under Odds : -105
Points per game : 12.5

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list.

Lines last updated at 4:35 PM EST on July 2, 2021.

Brook Lopez points insights

The 12.5 points Lopez has scored per game this season is 3.0 fewer points than his points prop total set for Saturday (15.5).
Lopez has put up more than 15.5 points 25 times this season (out of 86 total games - 29.1%).
Lopez's season-long average points prop bet total, 11.9 points, is 0.6 fewer points than his per-game scoring average.
50.8% of Lopez's matchups this year have seen him fall short of his point prop total (33 out of 65 chances).
In 51.2% of his matchups this year, Lopez has hit the over on his season-long average point total of 11.9 points (in 44 of his 86 games).
Teams are averaging 119.7 points per game against the Hawks this season, the most given up by a team.

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Brook Lopez rebound insights

Lopez has averaged 1.3 fewer rebounds per game (5.2) than his prop bet total in Saturday's game (6.5).
In 26.7% of his games this year (23 of 86), Lopez has gone over his prop bet total for his next matchup (6.5 boards).
The average prop bet over/under Lopez has had set for rebounds this season is five. He often has outperformed that value as he has pulled down 5.2 rebounds per game, 0.2 more boards than his average prop.
In only 40% of his chances (26 of 65), Lopez has surpassed his rebounds prop bet total.
The Hawks' opponents are racking up 47.0 rebounds per game, which is the third-most given up by an NBA team this season.

Brook Lopez assists insights

Lopez has averaged 0.6 assists per game, 0.1 more than Saturday's assist over/under (0.5).
Lopez has dished out more than 0.5 assists in 36 out of 86 games this season (41.9%).
Lopez has averaged 0.6 assists per game, 0.1 more per game than his average assist prop bet over/under of 0.5.
In only 41.9% of Lopez's games (36 out of 86) he has recorded more than 0.5 assists (his average assist prop over/under this season).
The Hawks' opponents are averaging 25.0 assists per game, which is the 10th-most allowed by an NBA squad this season.

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