Euro 2020: Italy vs. Spain odds, picks and prediction
We're down to just four teams in Euro 2020 and Italy meets Spain Tuesday in our first semifinal match for a 3 p.m. ET kickoff at Wembley Stadium in London, England. Below, we preview the Italy vs. Spain odds and lines and make our best Euro 2020bets, picks and predictions.
Spain, the No. 6 nation in the FIFA World Rankings, defeated the Xherdan Shaqiri-led Switzerland in the quarterfinals despite failing to score while up a man for the final 33-plus minutes of regulation and stoppage time. Spain had 28 shots (10 on target) but just 1 goal.
With a bad penalty record, Spain managed to step up and top Switzerland 3-1 on penalties.
Italy topped Belgium 2-1 in the quarterfinals. Despite MF Eden Hazard being sidelined, Belgium looked almost at full strength. The top team in the world by the FIFA rankings, lost to seventh-ranked Italy. A penalty kick was the only goal Belgium got on the board.
Italy had two absolutely beautiful goals. It shook off its Round of 16 struggles and looked dominant to improve to 5-0-0 in the tournament.
Italy vs. Spain: Odds, picks and predictions
Odds via BetMGM ; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 3:25 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Italy +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Spain +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Draw +220
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +120 | U: -160)
Special UEFA EURO 2020 betting offer
Bet $1 on any team's money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if any EURO team scores a goal that day. Promotion available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C.
New customer offer, terms and conditions apply. Place all of your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM Sportsbook. Bet now !
Prediction
Italy 1, Spain 1 (Italy advances in extra time)
Money line (ML)
BET on ITALY TO ADVANCE (-145) as the best value bet. While it's a bit pricey, Spain is a classy side and may find a way to push this to penalty kicks.
Italy looked flawless despite one mistaken challenge against Belgium. After watching that and seeing the combination of lethal finishers with veteran defenders like 36-year-old Giorgio Chiellini, I wouldn't bet against Italy.
Also, Italy's defense is much stronger than Switzerland's, so if Spain struggled to score against the Swiss, I can only imagine the difficulty they could be in for in the semifinals.
After giving up 2 goals in the final 15 minutes to Croatia and not capitalizing on the red card against Switzerland, betting on Spain in any form to win this game is a trap.