NBA

NBA finals prop bets: Phoenix Suns Chris Paul props for 7/6/2021

DataSkrive

Sportsbook Wire

NBA Finals action continues Tuesday, as we focus on the Phoenix Suns and Chris Paul's prop bets and lines. The over/under for Paul's points in Tuesday's game against the Milwaukee Bucks is 20.5.

Paul records an average of 16.7 points and 8.9 assists per contest this season, while connecting on 49.4% of his shot attempts. Over just his last five games, he's averaged 26.6 points, 8.4 assists and 1.8 steals in each outing and has shot 47.6% from the floor.

The Suns are being picked to win the contest by sportsbooks, who list them as 5.5-point favorites, while the over/under is set at 219.5 points. The teams will meet on Tuesday in Game 1 of the NBA Finals, starting at 9:00 PM ET. Let's dig into some insights and stats to figure out how Paul will fare in this matchup, especially as it pertains to his betting markets.

Chris Paul prop bets breakdown

Points Over/Under : 20.5
Over Odds : -105
Under Odds : -125
Points per game : 16.7

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list.

Lines last updated at 1:35 PM EST on July 6, 2021.

Chris Paul points insights

The 20.5 points prop bet over/under set for Paul on Tuesday is 3.8 more points than his season scoring average (16.7).
Paul has scored more than 20.5 points 22 times this season (out of 84 total games - 26.2%).
Paul's season-long scoring average, 16.7 points per game, is 0.5 points higher than his average points prop bet total.
Less than half of the time - 46.8% of his outings this year - Paul has gone over his point total (29 out of 62 chances).
53.6% of Paul's outings this year have seen him go under his season-long average points prop total of 16.2 points (45 out of 84 games).
Opponents of the Bucks have put up 108.6 points per game this season, the 23rd-most against any NBA squad.

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Chris Paul rebound insights

Paul has grabbed 4.4 rebounds per game, 0.1 less boards than his prop bet for Tuesday's game (4.5).
In 40.5% of his games this year (34 of 84), Paul has grabbed more than 4.5 boards.
The average prop bet over/under Paul has had set for rebounds this season is 4.6. He often has fallen short of that number as he has grabbed 4.4 rebounds per game, 0.2 fewer rebounds than his average prop.
In just 23 of his 62 opportunities (37.1%), Paul has gone over his rebounds prop bet total.
In just 40.5% of his games (34 of 84 games), Paul has surpassed his average rebounds prop bet total (4.6).
Teams are averaging 45.8 rebounds per game against the Bucks this season, the 10th-most given up by a squad.

Chris Paul assists insights

Paul has averaged 8.9 assists per game this season, 0.4 assists more than his prop bet for the matchup on Tuesday (8.5).
In 45 out of 84 games this season (53.6%) Paul has collected more than 8.5 assists.
Paul's per-game assist average (8.9) is 0.5 more than his average assist prop bet total (8.4).
In 53.6% of Paul's contests (45 out of 84) he has recorded more than 8.4 assists (his average assist prop over/under this season).
The Bucks' opponents are averaging 24.2 assists per game, which is the 20th-most given up by an NBA team this season.

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