Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres odds, picks and prediction
The Washington Nationals (41-43) play the San Diego Padres (51-37) in the third game of their four-game series Wednesday in San Diego. First pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET at Petco Park. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Patrick Corbin is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 5-7 with a 5.56 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 in 87 1/3 IP over 16 starts.
Corbin has lost his last two starts and has not recorded a win on the road this season. He is 0-4 with a 6.56 ERA in seven starts away from Nationals Park.
RHP Chris Paddack is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres. He is 4-5 with a 4.56 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 73 IP over 15 starts.
Paddack allowed 3 runs on 4 hits and a walk receiving a no-decision in San Diego's 4-3 loss Friday at Philadelphia in his last start.
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Nationals at Padres odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:58 a.m. ET.
- Money line : Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Padres -185 (bet $185 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS : Nationals +1.5 (-135) | Padres -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under : 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Padres 6, Nationals 4
Money line (ML)
The Nationals have split the first two games of the series and are 17-21 on the road this season, including 2-5 in road games when Corbin starts. Their road ERA of 4.45 is nearly a run more than their home ERA and that offsets their 4.6 runs scored per game on the road compared to 3.6 at home.
No team has more home wins than the Padres' 31 this season. They have won 10 of their last 12 games at Petco Park.
Take the PADRES (-185).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Only three teams in the majors have a lower cover percentage than the Nationals' 44.0%, and that percentage goes up only to 44.7% on the road. They have covered the spread in only one of their last six games.
The Padres are 47-41 ATS overall and 24-23 ATS at home. They have covered the spread in five of their last seven games, and eight of the nine wins they have with Paddack starting have been by at least two runs.
Take the PADRES -1.5 (+110).
Over/Under (O/U)
Both games of the series so far have gone Over the projected totals with totals of 12 and 11 runs.
Six of the Nationals' last seven games have had totals of at least eight runs.
10 of the Padres' last 12 have had totals of at least eight runs.
Take OVER 8 (-110).
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