New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction
The New York Yankees (44-41) and Seattle Mariners (45-42) put a lid on a three-game series Thursday with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch at T-Mobile Park. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Yankees vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Jordan Montgomery is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. He is 3-3 with a 4.17 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 9.0 K/9, and 2.7 BB/9 in 86 1/3 IP over 16 starts.
Montgomery has been a road struggler over the last two seasons. In 62 road innings in 2019-20, he has clocked a 6.10 ERA.
RHP Logan Gilbert is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners. In 9 starts, Gilbert is 2-2 with a 4.10 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 9.7 K/9, and 2.2 BB/9 in 41 2/3 IP.
Gilbert has pitched well since experiencing some early-season struggles. He owns a 2.90 ERA, 1.00 WHIP over his last 6 starts.
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Yankees at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:47 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Yankees -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mariners +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread/ATS: Yankees -1.5 (+115) | Mariners +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Yankees 6, Mariners 4
Money line (ML)
The Yankees head into Thursday's Emerald City matinee looking for a sweep. The New York attack has racked up 37 base runners over the first two games of the series, and since June 8 the Yanks have registered a fine .803 OPS.
Seattle's offense, on the other hand, seems to be too far over its skis at 4.1 runs scored per game. The Mariners have clustered their hits together in the right way and at the right time. They own a .343 batting average on balls in play with runners in scoring position and a .320 BAbip in high-leverage situations.
The Yanks are the lean in principle for Thursday but look to the run line for more value relative to the marketplace. PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Gilbert has thrown 100-plus pitches in two of his last three starts. The young right-hander throws a lot of fastballs, and that plays into a Yankees strength.
The Mariners entered this series with a .529 win percentage, a suspect figure in terms of run differential and underlying production.
The Seattle offense is a left-leaning one, and that plays into an area Montgomery can leverage. The Yankee southpaw has held lefty bats to a .560 OPS over his career.
TAKE THE YANKEES -1.5 (+115).
Over/Under (O/U)
Figure on enough downside to what the pitching in this game brings to the final score. BACK THE OVER 8.5 (-110).
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