Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and prediction
The Los Angeles Angels (44-42) travel to T-Mobile Park Friday to start a three-game series with the host Seattle Mariners (46-42) at 10:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Angels vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mariners lead 4-3.
RHP Alex Cobb makes his 13th start for the Angels. Cobb is 6-3 with a 4.60 ERA (60 2/3 IP, 31 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.2 K/9 this year.
- Last outing : Win, 4-1, with 7 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 6 K Saturday vs. the Baltimore Orioles.
- Cobb picked up a win vs. the Mariners earlier this year (June 5) with a stat line of 7 IP, 5 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 6 K in Seattle's 12-5 victory.
- vs. Mariners on the current roster : 51 at-bats with a .216/.268/.294 slash line, 11/3 K/BB, 1 HR and 9 RBIs.
LHP Marco Gonzales is Seattle's projected starter. Gonzales is 1-5 with a 5.82 ERA (51 IP, 33 ER), 1.45 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 across 10 starts.
Follow every MLB game: Latest MLB scores, stats, schedules and standings.
- Last outing : Loss, 7-3, with 3 1/3 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB and 4 K vs. the Texas Rangers Saturday.
- vs. Angels on the current roster : 122 at-bats with a .189/.242/.418 slash line, 34/9 K/BB, 7 HR and 19 RBIs.
MLB betting offers/promotions
BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.
- Bet just $1 on either team's money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
- RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you'll get up to $600 in free bets.Bet now!
Angels at Mariners odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:45 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Angels -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Mariners +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Angels -1.5 (+135) | Mariners +1.5 (-160)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Mariners 4, Angels 1
Money line (ML)
Listen, I'm all for fading Seattle when Gonzales is on the mound when the situation warrants it, but this ain't the spot.
Gonzales has beaten the Angels in four straight starts (three of them were deemed "quality starts") plus L.A.'s lineup should be easier to work through since both Mike Trout and 3B AnthonyRendon are on the IL.
Also, Cobb pitches a lot better at home than on the road this season. Cobb is 2-2 on the road with a 7.77 ERA (2.48 home ERA), 1.64 WHIP (0.94 home WHIP), and 21 of his 31 home runs allowed have been in away games.
Furthermore, we are seeing some "reverse line movement" in the betting market as nearly three-fourths of the money wagered is on L.A.'s money line (according to Pregame.com), but the House is making the Angels cheaper.
This game opened with L.A. laying -130 and has been steamed down despite the overwhelming support within the betting market, and it's a red flag in sports betting when oddsmakers make the more popular side cheaper.
Lastly, Cobb needs to give the Angels a quality start because Seattle's bullpen is far better than L.A.'s.
For example, the Mariners relievers are second in both WAR and xFIP while the Angels' bullpen is 20th in WAR and 23rd in xFIP.
BET the MARINERS (+100) for 1.25 units.
FANTASY BASEBALL: Serious about winning your league? Sign up for BaseballHQ.com to dominate the competition.Subscribe now!
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS because Seattle's full game and First 5 Innings run lines are a little too rich for my blood even though the Mariners are 20-9 ATS this season at home, and the Angels are just 5-9 ATS as a road favorite.
Over/Under (O/U)
"LEAN" to the UNDER 8.5 (-105) for a half-unit since we are seeing a similar "reverse line movement" towards the Under, Seattle's ballpark is notoriously pitcher-friendly, and the Mariners are 19-25-2 O/U at home this season.
That being said, Seattle's money line is by far my favorite play in the Angels-Mariners game.
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick'em contests.Play now!
Bet on this game now atBetMGM Sportsbook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.