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MLB

Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction

Joe Williams
Sportsbook Wire

The Atlanta Braves (43-44) and Miami Marlins (38-49) play the second game of a three-game set Saturday at loanDepot park. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Braves vs. Marlins odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Max Fried is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 5-5 with a 4.66 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 over 67 2/3 IP across 13 starts.

Fried was knocked around for six runs, seven hits and two walks with five strikeouts across five innings in a loss at Pittsburgh Monday. He has faced Miami twice this season going 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA and .341 opponent batting average.

LHP Trevor Rogers is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins. He is 7-5 with a 2.22 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 and 3.0 BB/9 over 97 1/3 IP through 17 starts.

Rogers allowed two runs, six hits and no walks with eight strikeouts across five innings in a no-decision against the Dodgers Monday. He hasn't won in four starts since June 10 against the Colorado Rockies.

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Braves at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line : Braves -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Marlins -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS : Braves -1.5 (+155) | Marlins +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under : 7 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Marlins 6, Braves 3

Money line (ML)

The MARLINS (-110) are a decent play in their home park as they look to level this series after a 5-0 setback to the Braves (-110) in the series opener. I don't like the way Fried has looked in his previous two appearances against Miami, and the bats for the Fish should come alive after getting blanked in the opener.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The MARLINS +1.5 (-190) is a little more expensive than I'd like as I usually try to limit my plays to -180 or lower. However, I like this for a little insurance as Miami's offensive woes lately are concerning. They have scored two or fewer runs in three of the past four.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 7 (-115) is the lean here despite the fact Miami has had a power outage lately. They should be able to get well against a pitcher they have handled well in their previous two meetings this season.

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