Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays odds, picks and prediction
The Toronto Blue Jays (44-41) and Tampa Bay Rays (52-36) play the second game of a three-game set Saturday at Tropicana Field. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Blue Jays vs. Rays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Ross Stripling is the projected starting pitcher for the Blue Jays. He is 3-4 with a 4.06 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, 9.3 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 over 71 IP across 13 starts and 1 relief appearance.
Stripling allowed just one run and two hits with three walks over 5 2/3 innings in a no-decision against the Rays July 3.
He has no decisions with an 0.71 ERA while allowing four hits and five walks with 12 strikeouts across 12 2/3 innings in one start and a relief outing vs. TB this season.
LHP Ryan Yarbrough is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays. He is 5-3 with a 4.34 ERA, 1.17 WHIP, 7.4 K/9 and 1.5 BB/9 over 91 1/3 IP through 12 starts and 5 relief appearances.
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Yarbrough allowed one earned run, four hits and no walks with five strikeouts in a win in Buffalo against the Blue Jays July 4. He also had a quality start in a no-decision May 24 in Buffalo against the Jays yielding three runs, three hits and no walks with four strikeouts in six frames.
Overall he has a 1-0 record, 2.16 ERA and .169 opponent batting average in two starts and three appearances vs. TOR this season.
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Blue Jays at Rays odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 6:25 a.m. ET.
- Money line : Blue Jays -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Rays -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS : Blue Jays -1.5 (+155) | Rays +1.5 (-190)
- Over/Under : 8 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Rays 4, Blue Jays 2
Money line (ML)
The RAYS (-115) have pieced together a nice five-game win streak, and they're a solid play at home against the Blue Jays (-105) in what could be a surprisingly well-pitched game.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The RAYS +1.5 (-190) are a little more expensive than I'd like, and I'd rather just play the money line here. However, Tampa is a decent play on the run line if you want a little insurance.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 8 (+100) is a surprising value at even money given the strong pitching matchup. Take advantage. The Under cashed last time Yarbrough faced the Jays, and the Under is 4-2 across the past six games for the Rays.
The Under also connected in Stripling's most recent outing against the Jays and has connected in each of his past four starts.
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