UFC 264: Carlos Condit vs. Max Griffin odds, picks and prediction
In a welterweight bout in Saturday's prelims, Carlos Condit and Max Griffin meet at UFC 264 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC 264 Condit vs. Griffin odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The early prelims begin at 6 p.m ET on ESPN/ ESPN+ with the prelims starting at 8 p.m. ET and the main card on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.
Condit has pieced together a two-bout win streak after snapping a five-fight losing skid. He's gone from fighting for a strap at UFC 195 on Jan. 2, 2016 against Robbie Lawler to fighting for his spot in the UFC promotion. Things have leveled out with two unanimous-decision wins over Matt Brown and Court McGee.
Griffin also enters with two straight victories, both by KO/TKO, including a first-round stoppage against Song Kenan last time out on March 20. The two knockouts ended a stretch of seven consecutive decisions.
UFC 264 Carlos Condit vs. Max Griffin: Odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:35 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line) : Carlos Condit +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Max Griffin -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Max
- Over/Under : 2.5 Rounds (Over -200 | Under +165)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -175 | No +140)
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UFC 264 Carlos Condit vs. Max Griffin: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Condit 32-13-0 | Griffin 17-8-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Griffin (-190) is a little expensive against a veteran like Condit, although I expect the 35-year-old to be able to take him down. The better play here, based upon Griffin's recent string of knockout victories, is playing GRIFFIN BY KO/TKO OR DQ (+260) on the 7-way line for a nice potential pay day.
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Over/Under (O/U)
As I am picking Griffin for the KO/TKO or DQ win, NO (+140): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is also the way to go. You could roll the dice on UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (+165) for a little added value, too.
In addition, playing GRIFFIN BY KO/TKO/DQ IN ROUND 1 (+850) and GRIFFIN BY KO/TKO/DQ IN ROUND 2 (+900) in the Round and Method of Victory section is a good deal. If Griffin knocks out Condit in the first two rounds you will lose one end but you'll still be very much ahead.
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