Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and prediction
The Arizona Diamondbacks (26-65) and Los Angeles Dodgers (55-35) wrap up their first-half schedules with the finale of their three-game series leading into the All-Star break. First pitch for the rubber match of the series is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 5-7 with a 4.60 ERA, 1.27 WHIP, 7.8 K/9 and 2.3 BB/9 over 103 2/3 IP through 18 starts.
The Diamondbacks won each of his last four starts, as he has a 2.13 ERA in those starts over 25 1/3 IP. He faced the Dodgers at Dodger Stadium May 20 and pitched well. He took the loss but allowed only 3 runs on 6 hits over 7 IP. He struck out 12 and didn't walk a batter.
RHP Tony Gonsolin is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. He is 1-0 with a 2.11 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 10.5 K/9 and 5.9 BB/9 through 21 1/3 IP spanning five starts and one relief appearance. He went a season-high 5 1/3 innings in his last start and did not allow a run against the Miami Marlins. It was the first time this season he pitched past the fourth inning.
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Diamondbacks at Dodgers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line : Diamondbacks +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS : Diamondbacks +1.5 (-105) | Dodgers -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under : 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Dodgers 4, Diamondbacks 3
Money line (ML)
After taking the opener 5-2, the Diamondbacks were trounced 22-1 Saturday night and will need Kelly to give them some innings. They are 11-38 on the road and have not won more than one game on a road trip since late April.
The Dodgers have won only two of their last six games but are 29-14 at home for the season. They are 4-1 in Gonsolin's starts this season.
Take the DODGERS (-250).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Diamondbacks are 5-2 ATS in Kelly's last seven starts. They are 6-7 ATS in their last 13 games.
The Dodgers are 23-20 ATS at home but covered the spread in only two of their last six games.
Gonsolin has been pitching great and so has Kelly. The Dodgers will not have the offensive output they did Saturday night and the Diamondbacks will keep it close.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-105).
Over/Under (O/U)
Only 47.5% of the games at Dodgers Stadium have gone Over the projected total.
Only one of Gonsolin's starts so far this season has had a total of more than 9 runs. Three of Kelly's last four starts stayed Under nine runs, as well.
Expect more of a pitching duel. Take UNDER 8.5 (+100).
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