UFC on ESPN 26: Marion Reneau vs. Miesha Tate odds, picks and prediction
In a women's bantamweight bout on Saturday's main card, Marion Reneau and Miesha Tate meet at UFC on ESPN 26 at the UFC's APEX Facility in Las Vegas. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 26 Reneau vs. Tate odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The prelims start at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN/ ESPN+, with the main card starting at 10 p.m. ET.
Reneau, a.k.a. "The Belizean Bruiser", has dropped four straight fights via unanimous decision. Her last victory came February 24, 2018, against Sara McMann via submission in the second round. The 44-year-old is 5-6-1 across her 12 fights at the UFC level with four finishes inside the distance.
Tate returns to the company for the first time since November 12, 2016, at UFC 205 where she took a unanimous decision loss against Raquel Pennington. The good news for "Cupcake" is that despite the long layoff she is still 10 years younger than her counterpart.
UFC on ESPN 26 Reneau vs. Tate: Odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line) : Reneau +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Tate -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Over/Under : 2.5 rounds (Over -300 | Under +240)
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -250 | No +200)
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UFC on ESPN 26 Reneau vs. Tate: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Reneau 9-7-1 | Tate 18-7-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
TATE (-140) is the moderate favorite despite a four-year layoff from the UFC and rust is a huge concern for bettors. However, Reneau is on a four-bout losing skid and she is 10 years older than Tate. It seems the former champ appears to have been gifted with a tune-up fight to win and get back on track.
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Over/Under (O/U)
TATE ON POINTS (+135) at plus money is the best value on the board. While I am not terribly concerned with rust, or a lack of training on Tate's part, I do believe Reneau will take her the distance in her return to the octagon. It won't be easy, that's for sure.
However, playing Yes (-250): Will the fight go the distance? is just too expensive to play despite not declaring a winner.
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