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MLB

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees odds, picks and prediction

USA Today Sportsbookwire

The New York Yankees (47-44) host the Boston Red Sox (56-37) Sunday for their three-game series finale at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Red Sox vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.

New York finally beat Boston Saturday 3-1 to even the series in a game called after the sixth inning due to rain. Yankees RHP Gerrit Cole pitched all six innings, allowing just one earned run on five hits and two walks while striking out 11.

Season series: Red Sox lead 7-1.

LHP Martin Perez is Boston's projected starter. Perez is 7-5 with a 4.04 ERA (84 2/3 IP, 38 ER), 1.48 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 over 18 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 11-2, with 3 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 4 K vs. the Philadelphia Phillies July 10.
  • Perez took a no-decision in a June 25 start against the Yankees with 3 2/3 IP, 0 ER (3 unearned runs), 6 H, 2 BB and 3 K in Boston's 5-3 win.
    • vs. Yankees on the current roster: 91 at-bats with a .286/.398/.538 slash line, 21/14 K/BB, 6 HR and 19 RBIs.

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RHP Jameson Taillon makes his 18th start for the Yankees. Taillon is 4-4 with a 4.90 ERA (82 2/3 IP, 45 ER), 1.27 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision in New York's 8-7 loss at the Houston Astros July 11 with 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 4 K.
  • Taillon picked up a no-decision earlier this year vs. Boston (June 5) with a stat line of 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 3 K in a 7-3 loss.

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Red Sox at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:50 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Red Sox -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Yankees -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Red Sox -1.5 (+150) | Yankees +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under: 9.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Prediction

Yankees 6, Red Sox 3

Money line (ML)

BET the YANKEES (-115) for 1 unit because, despite a down-year thus far, New York's lineup hits lefties well and the Yankees bullpen is still one of the best in the majors even with closer LHP Aroldis Chapman's recent struggles.

The Yankees hitters rank in the top 5 of the majors in wRC+, wOBA and BB/K rate and New York's bullpen is second in WAR.

Furthermore, Perez is just 0-2 with a 6.53 ERA (21 2/3 IP, 15 ER), six home runs allowed, 10 BB and 17 K in his last five starts against the Yankees.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS with a slight "lean" to the Yankees -1.5 (+165) alternate run line since I'm on New York's money line.

However, I'm going to stay away since the Yankees beat the Red Sox for the first time this season Saturday and their lineup has been by far the most disappointing unit in the majors.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight "lean" to the Under 9.5 (-120) because it would be a "contrarian play" against a majority of the market that is backing the Over and the Under has cashed in four of the last five Red Sox-Yankees meetings.

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