Los Angeles Dodgers at Colorado Rockies odds, picks and prediction
The Los Angeles Dodgers (58-35) meet the Colorado Rockies (40-53) for their three-game series finale at 3:10 p.m. ET in Coors Field. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Dodgers vs. Rockies odds with MLB picks and predictions.
L.A. hammered Colorado through the first two games of the series by a combined score of 19-6.
Season series: Dodgers lead 8-1.
LHP David Price is L.A.'s projected starter. Price is 4-0 with a 3.23 ERA (30 2/3 IP, 11 ER), 1.66 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.1 K/9 across four starts and 20 relief appearances.
- Last outing: No-decision with 3 IP, 0 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 3 K in L.A.'s 5-2 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks July 9.
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RHP Jon Gray makes his 17th start for the Rockies. Gray is 6-6 with a 3.77 ERA (86 IP, 36 ER), 1.22 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 this year.
- Last outing: Win, 3-1, with 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB and 7 K at the San Diego Padres last Sunday.
- Gray is 0-1 against L.A. this season with a 4.00 ERA (9 IP, 4 ER), 9 H, 3 BB and 10 K in two starts.
- vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 139 at-bats with a .331/.405/.518 slash line, 41/15 K/BB, 3 HR and 20 RBIs.
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Dodgers at Rockies odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:50 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Dodgers -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Rockies +145 (bet $100 to win $145)
- Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (-120) | Rockies +1.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: 12 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Prediction
Dodgers 6, Rockies 5
Money line (ML)
PASS with a slight "lean" to the Rockies (+145) First 5 Innings since I "like" Colorado's First 5 Innings run line because Gray has "top of the rotation" stuff and pitches better in Coors Field than on the road.
It's rare that a pitcher does better in Coors than any other field, but Gray is 5-2 at home this season with a 3.22 ERA (4.54 road ERA), 1.03 WHIP (1.49 road WHIP) and a .593 opponent's OPS (.793 opponent's OPS on the road).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
BET the ROCKIES +0.5 (+105) FIRST 5 INNINGS for 1 unit because of Gray's aforementioned home splits, and I am not sure what we are getting out of Price Sunday.
Furthermore, Gray could be a little more dialed in for this start because he's going to be a free agent this offseason, and this could be an audition for a contender at the trade deadline July 30.
Moreover, L.A.'s lineup could be easier for Gray to maneuver around because Dodgers RF Mookie Betts isn't in the projected starting lineup since he left Saturday's Dodgers-Rockies game right hip irritation.
Also, Price won the 2012 American League Cy Young as a starter, but he has been used mostly as an "opener" for an L.A. "bullpen day" this season. He's only averaging 1 1/3 innings pitched per appearance and has 20 bullpen outings to just four starts this year.
The reason for betting the ROCKIES +0.5 (+105) FIRST 5 INNINGS instead of the full game is pretty obvious, but the Dodgers own the Rockies. So they'll probably steal this game from Colorado's terrible bullpen.
Over/Under (O/U)
"LEAN" to the UNDER 6.5 (-110) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a half unit because of Gray's home splits and L.A.'s lineup possibly being without Betts.
On top of that, these teams have a combined 7-13 O/U when these starters are on the mound, and the Under has cashed in five of the past seven Dodgers-Rockies meetings.
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