Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins odds, picks and prediction
The Atlanta Braves (63-56) face the Miami Marlins (51-68) Tuesday in the continuation of a three-game set at loanDepot park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze the lines around the Braves vs. Marlinsodds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Huascar Ynoa is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves. Through 9 games (8 starts) this season, Ynoa is 4-2 with a 3.02 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 10.1 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 in 44 2/3 IP.
- Comes off the IL (fractured hand) to make this start against Miami. Hasn't pitched since May 16.
- Has logged a lot of strikeouts (11.3 K/9) but alongside some troubles (6.43 ERA) over 3 rebab starts (10 1/3 IP).
RHP Sandy Alcantara is the projected starter for the Marlins. He is 7-10 with a 3.52 ERA, 1.16 WHIP, 8.0 K/9 and 2.7 BB/9 in 143 1/3 IP over 24 starts.
- Owns a 2.45 ERA across 3 starts vs. the Braves this season.
- Owns a 1.71 ERA over his last 3 home starts and a 2.58 home-park ERA on the year.
Braves at Marlins odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Braves -133 (bet $133 to win $100) | Marlins +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread/ATS: Braves -1.5 (+130) | Marlins +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Prediction
Marlins 4, Braves 3
Money line (ML)
The Braves are won Monday's opener, 12-2, and are 11-2 over their last 13 games. Atlanta has scored 6.5 runs per game on the strength of an .817 OPS over that stretch.
The Marlins went into this series off a three-game weekend sweep of the Chicago Cubs. But the club's pitching woes returned Monday when 6 Fish hurlers were touched up for 11 walks and 7 extra-base hits. Miami owns a 5.17 ERA in the second half.
Ynoa's return after a long layoff (and his iffy rehab numbers) brings in some question marks on the Atlanta side. Alcantara at home brings in some stability for the Marlins. And the back end of the Miami bullpen should be mostly available to douse any late fires.
Miami has played a tough slate through most of July and August. It figures as a better team than one that finds itself 17 games under-.500. A 12-23 mark in 1-run games hasn't helped.
TAKE THE MARLINS +110.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
STEER CLEAR unless you can wait out a Miami tag closer to -155.
Over/Under (O/U)
There is just enough analytic pushback against the pitching in this matchup to make for some leverage on the upside of a low total.
BACK THE OVER 7.5 (-115).
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