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MLB

Philadelphia Phillies at Milwaukee Brewers odds, expert picks and prediction

Joe Williams
Sportsbook Wire

The Philadelphia Phillies (71-66) and Milwaukee Brewers (84-55) play the second game of a three-game series Tuesday at American Family Field. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. ET. Let's analyze the lines around the Phillies vs. Brewersodds with MLB picks and predictions.

Phillies RHP Aaron Nola (7-7, 4.54 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 11.0 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 through 152 2/3 IP.

  • Pounded for six earned runs, six hits and two walks in just four innings in a no-decision at Washington Thursday.
  • Allowed just one run, five hits and two walks with 10 strikeouts May 4 in a win in his only previous appearance vs. MIL this season.

Brewers LHP Eric Lauer (4-5, 3.43 ERA) makes his 16th start and 20th appearance. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 through 89 1/3 IP.

  • Yielded just one run, three hits and a walk with four strikeouts across seven innings in a no-decision in San Francisco Thursday.
  • Coughed up six runs - two earned - and eight hits with seven strikeouts across six innings in a loss at Philadelphia May 4 opposite Nola.

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Phillies at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Phillies -112 (bet $112 to win $100) | Brewers -108 (bet $108 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Phillies -1.5 (+145) | Brewers +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under: 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)

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Prediction

Phillies 6, Brewers 4

Money line(ML)

The PHILLIES (-112) are the slight road favorites, and they're worth playing because of the pitching matchup.

Philadelphia has won each of Nola's past two starts, and he handled himself well in his first meeting with Milwaukee.

Oh, and the Phillies are 5-1 in their past six trips to Cream City, and they have won five straight meetings overall with the Brewers.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PHILLIES -1.5 (+145) is worth a small-unit play behind Nola and because of their dominance against the Brewers +1.5 (-180) recently.

Philadelphia won and covered 12-0 in the series opener, its largest margin of victory ever against Milwaukee. It might not be as lopsided, but Philly is still the play.

Over/Under (O/U)

Take the OVER 7.5 (-130) as this one should have plenty of offense. Nola and Lauer are good but not great. The left-hander is especially hittable. While we aren't likely to see anybody hit double digits like Philly did in the opener, the total number of runs should be in the double digits before the dust settles.

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