Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and prediction
The Pittsburgh Pirates (57-94) and Cincinnati Reds (78-74) play the finale of a three-game set at Great American Ball Park Wednesday. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 p.m. ET. Let's analyze the lines around the Pirates vs. Redsodds with MLB picks and predictions.
Pirates RHP Connor Overton (0-0, 0.00) has not allowed a run on just 6 hits and 3 walks through 11 2/3 innings spanning one start and six relief appearances with the Pirates and Toronto Blue Jays.
- Expected to be the opener for a bullpen day. Went 3 innings in his first start Thursday before returning to the bullpen for 1 inning Monday.
Reds RHP Luis Castillo (8-15, 4.08 ERA) makes his 32nd start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 and 3.5 BB/9 through 176 1/3 IP.
- Twirled 6 1/3 scoreless innings in a win against the Los Angeles Dodgers Friday, allowing just 5 hits and 2 walks with 10 strikeouts.
- His win against the Dodgers was his first since Aug. 19, a span of five starts.
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Pirates at Reds odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:04 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Pirates +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Reds -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Pirates +1.5 (-105) | Reds -1.5 (+115)
- Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)
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Prediction
Reds 6, Pirates 2
Money line(ML)
The REDS (-250) are the play in the series finale.
Cincinnati will benefit from facing a right-handed pitcher with little experience at GBAP. There will be a jetstream for left-handed hitters blowing out to right field at 11-14 mph, too. That's good news for the Cincinnati hitters.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
REDS -1.5 (-115) are the play based on the pitching matchup, as Castillo looks to build on his tremendous effort last time out. He is the better pitcher in this getaway game, and the offense will back him with plenty of support.
Over/Under (O/U)
The lean is to the UNDER 8.5 (-120), based on Castillo's outing last time he took the hill. He was lights out against a playoff-bound Dodgers side.
While I expect the Reds to get plenty of offense against the Bucs starter, the visitors will struggle trying to solve Castillo.
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