Vanderbilt at Florida odds, picks and prediction
The Vanderbilt Commodores (2-3, 0-1 SEC) head south to take on the No. 18 Florida Gators (3-2, 1-2) Saturday. Kickoff from Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville is set for noon ET. Below, we look at the Vanderbilt vs. Florida odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings according to the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
The Gators suffered their second loss in three weeks with a 20-13 road loss at the Kentucky Wildcats last week. They had played well in a 31-29 loss against the No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide in Week 3 in their previous defeat. Florida has been dominant offensively with 29 or more points scored in four of its five games.
The Commodores' traditionally weak program has taken down UConn and Colorado State for their two victories, but they suffered a 62-0 loss to the No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs in Week 4 in their only other game against a ranked opponent.
Vanderbilt at Florida odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:40 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Vanderbilt +1700 (bet $100 to win $1700) | Florida -100000 (bet $100,000 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Vanderbilt +38.5 (-105) | Florida -38.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 60.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Vanderbilt at Florida odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Florida 45, Vanderbilt 14
Money line
PASS on the money line.
This one should be obvious, but upsets do happen, and betting 1000x your money for one unit of return is too risky to ever be worth it. Look toward the spread and total for better values.
Against the spread
"LEAN" to VANDERBILT +38.5 (-105).
The Gators have yet to outscore a team by even 25 points, despite games against Florida Atlanta, South Florida and Tennessee - all games where they came in as heavy favorites. The Gators have yet to top 42 points this season.
Vandy has been surprisingly mediocre this season with two wins after losing all its games last year.
Handing Colorado State a loss was impressive for this program. While they were crushed by Georgia, the Bulldogs are a level above everyone not named Alabama.
They haven't lost by more than 20 outside the Georgia game. The Commodores won't be able to hang with the Gators, but I do like them to lose by fewer than 39.
Over/Under
BET on the UNDER 60.5 (-112) as the best value. Both teams have gone Over this total just twice this season. While I expect Vandy to cover, it likely won't get more than 20 points.
The Gators gave up 31 to Alabama but haven't given up more than 20 to any other opponent. Florida will have to do the heavy lifting for this total to go Over, and given that it's scored under 40 points in three straight matches, it will likely take the pedal off the gas late.
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