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NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints odds, picks and prediction

Joe Williams
Sportsbook Wire

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-1) hit the road in Week 8 to face the NFC South division-rival New Orleans Saints (4-2) Sunday at Caesars Superdome. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:25 p.m. ET and will be televised on FOX. Below, we look at the Buccaneers vs. Saints odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Buccaneers registered a 38-3 blowout win against the Chicago Bears last weekend. While Tampa side bettors enjoyed the day, Over bettors certainly weren't entertained by the game as both teams combined for just 3 second half points. The Bucs have won four in a row but are just 2-2 ATS during the streak.

The Saints have won back-to-back games with road victories over the Washington Football Team and Seattle Seahawks. They're back on home turf for the first time since a stunning 27-21 overtime loss against the New York Giants in Week 4. New Orleans has alternated covers and non-covers in each of the first six outings.

Buccaneers at Saints odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports' betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:05 a.m. ET.

NFL STATS CENTRAL: The latest NFL scores, schedules, odds, stats and more.

  • Money line: Buccaneers -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Saints +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers -5.5 (-112) | Saints +5.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Buccaneers at Saints key injuries

Buccaneers

  • WR Antonio Brown (ankle) questionable
  • LB Lavonte David (ankle) questionable
  • CB Jamel Dean (shoulder, thumb) questionable
  • CB Richard Sherman (hamstring) questionable
  • TE O.J. Howard (ankle) questionable
  • TE Rob Gronkowski (ribs) questionable
  • LB Jason Pierre-Paul (shoulder, hand) questionable
  • DT Ndamukong Suh (knee) questionable

Saints

  • LG Andrus Peat (pectoral) questionable
  • WR Deonte Harris (hamstring) questionable
  • QB Tayson Hill (concussion) questionable
  • CB Marshon Lattimore (hand) questionable

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Buccaneers at Saints odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Saints 31, Buccaneers 27

Money line

NEW ORLEANS (+190) is a value play with a chance to nearly double up. The Saints were kryptonite for the Buccaneers during the Drew Brees era. The Bucs are just 1-5 ATS in the past six meetings in this series, with the road team 5-2 ATS in the previous seven.

QB Tom Brady and the Bucs didn't lose many games last year, but they dropped both regular-season meetings with the Saints. While that was against Brees this current Saints squad is red-hot and has won two straight and three of the past four games. New Orleans is worth a look until Tampa proves they can win in the Big Easy.

Against the spread

The SAINTS +5.5 (-108) catching nearly two field goals at home is a good play against a team they have had their way with over the years.

Again, nearly all of the damage was done during the Brees era, but QB Jameis Winston gets a crack at his former teammates and will be playing with a chip on his shoulder with something to prove against one of the leagues's best teams.

Over/Under

The OVER 49.5 (-115) is the lean in this NFC South battle. The Saints have had a lot of success, and it's mostly due to their strong defense. While New Orleans ranks eighth in the NFL with 331.5 yards per game allowed and is third with just 80.8 rushing yards per game allowed, it remains very susceptible to the pass. Both the Bucs and Saints will pass first and avoid the run in what could be a score-fest.

The Bucs are also a shutdown rush defense, giving up a league-low 67.4 yards per game. However, they have allowed 264.7 yards per game through the air, so while RB Alvin Kamara might not do much on the ground, look for plenty of targets out of the backfield for the dual-threat.

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