NBA

Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors Game 6 odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle

Sportsbook Wire

The Memphis Grizzlies look to stay alive when they visit Chase Center Friday to take on the Golden State Warriors in Game 6 of their best-of-7 Western Conference semifinal series. The Warriors leads the series 3-2. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Grizzlies are coming off a wildly impressive 134-95 Game 5 victory over the Warriors. They owned the game from the start and ended with a +14 advantage on the offensive glass.

Memphis has been aided in the series by the return of C Steven Adams. The No. 1 offensive rebounding team in the NBA during the regular season, the Grizzlies have found their angle to attack Golden State.

The Warriors come in with the second-best home record during the regular season and a 5-0 record during the playoffs, having covered just 1 of 2 home wins in this series.

Golden State has been led by 2-time MVP PG Stephen Curry, who is averaging 26.7 points per game in the playoffs. It ranked second in eFG% during the regular season.

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Grizzlies at Warriors odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:44 a.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Warriors -370 (bet $370 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +7.5 (-108) | Warriors -7.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Grizzlies at Warriors key injuries

Grizzlies

PG Ja Morant (knee) out

Warriors

F Andre Iguodala (back) out
SG Gary Payton II (elbow) out
SF Otto Porter Jr. (foot) questionable

Grizzlies at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 112, Grizzlies 108

Money line

PASS.

If anything, Memphis' payout at +280 is enticing, but I'd still rather play the spread and assume the Warriors, who are undefeated at home in the playoffs, close out the series.

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Against the spread

BET the GRIZZLIES +7.5 (-108).

The Grizzlies are one of the two top-6 teams in both offensive and defensive rating left in the playoffs (the Suns are the other). Along with their ability to excel without leading scorer Morant, Memphis will be playing for its postseason lives.

Coming off a 39-point victory and having abused the Warriors on the boards and forcing them into 22 turnovers, the Grizzlies should be primed to keep this game within 8.

Golden State hasn't shot well this series and has too many flaws, mainly rebounding and turnovers, to bet on at this spread. The Warriors may be 5-0 at home in the playoffs, but are just 3-2 ATS.

The Grizzlies are too good on the boards to let this one be a blowout. Memphis +7.5 is my favorite bet of the game.

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 217.5 (-112).

The Over is 3-2 in this series with one team topping 130 in 2 of the last 3 games. Both teams shot under 32% from deep in the games that went under and both teams shot better than that throughout the course of the regular season.

Memphis also had 30 free throw attempts in Game 5 and should once again be able to own the paint. Golden State averaged the 3rd-most threes per game this season, so it'll undoubtedly bounce back as well.

Combine it all, and I like the Over 217.5 here.

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