Toronto Blue Jays at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions
The Toronto Blue Jays (24-20) meet the Los Angeles Angels (27-19) Friday in the 2nd of their 4-game series at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Blue Jays vs. Angelsodds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Toronto leads 1-0.
The Blue Jays won the series opener 6-3 Thursday in a Japanese starting pitching duel with Toronto SP Hyun Jin Ryu allowing just 2 ER while L.A. SP Shohei Ohtani surrended 5 ER.
Blue Jays at Angels projected starters
RHP Alek Manoah vs. RHP Chase Silseth
Manoah is 5-1 with a 1.62 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 50 IP across 8 starts.
- Last start: Won 3-1 Saturday at home vs. the Cincinnati Reds with 8 IP, 1 ER, 7 H, 0 BB and 4 K.
- 2021 vs. the Angels: One start, a 10-2 win in L.A. Aug. 11 with 6 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 11 K.
Silseth is 1-1 with a 2.61 ERA (10 1/3 IP, 3 ER), 7 H, 2 HR, 4 BB and 10 K in 2 starts.
- Last start: Lost 4-2 May 20 at home vs. the Oakland Athletics with 4 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 2 HR, 2 BB and 6 K.
Blue Jays at Angels odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:13 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML) : Blue Jays -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Angels +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Blue Jays -1.5 (+135) | Angels +1.5 (-170)
- Over/Under (O/U) : 7.5 (O: -125 | U: +100)
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Blue Jays at Angels picks and predictions
Prediction
Blue Jays 6, Angels 2
Money line
LEAN BLUE JAYS (-120) because this line is suspiciously low since Manoah has Cy Young-caliber stuff and Silseth is only making his 3rd career start.
Also, there's a line freeze in the betting market with three-fourths of the cash being on Toronto (per Pregame.com), but this line hasn't budged off the opener.
Manoah grades in the 86th percentile or better in hard-hit rate (92%), barrel rate (92%), BB% (87%), expected slugging percentage (88%), expected ERA (86%) and expected wOBA (86%), according to Statcast. All 4 of Manoah's pitches have a minus-run value.
However, between the line freeze and L.A.'s edges in hitting and relief pitching, I wouldn't bet more than a half-unit on the BLUE JAYS (-120).
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS because the Angels +1.5 (-170) have a more productive lineup and bullpen and the Blue Jays -1.5 (+135) are just 10-21 RL as favorites.
Over/Under
PASS because I don't have enough confidence in L.A.'s starter to go with the Under 7.5 (+100) and the Over 7.5 (-125) appears to be the sharp side since it's more expensive.
That said, these teams have a combined 1-9 O/U record when these starters are on the mound, the Blue Jays are 11-19-1 O/U as favorites, and the Angels are 9-14-2 O/U at home.
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