Chicago Cubs at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions
The Chicago Cubs (58-82) open a 3-game series with the New York Mets (89-52) Monday. First pitch from CitiField is set for 7:10. p.m. ET. Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Cubs vs. Metsodds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Mets lead 3-1
The Cubs have lost 7 of their 9 games in September. Chicago's latest loss was a 4-2 defeat at the San Francisco Giants Sunday, despite 2B Zach McKinstry being a home run short of the cycle.
The Mets remain one of the best teams in baseball, winning 4 of their last 5 outings. New York is 1 1/2 games ahead of the Atlanta Braves in the NL East.
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Cubs at Mets projected starters
RHP Javier Assad vs. RHP Chris Bassitt
Assad (0-1, 2.93 ERA) makes his 4th start and 5th appearance. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 15 1/3 IP.
- Has yet to pitch more than 5 1/3 innings in a start
- Last start: 5 1/3 IP, 5 H, 4 ER, 1 BB and 6 K vs. Cincinnati Reds Wednesday
Bassitt (13-7, 3.24 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 161 1/3 IP.
- Has gone 6 or more IP in 13 of his last 14 starts
- Last 7 starts: 6-0, 46 1/3 IP, 44 H, 9 ER, 9 BB and 36 K
Cubs at Mets odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:19 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML) : Cubs +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Mets -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Cubs +1.5 (+110) | Mets -1.5 (-135)
- Over/Under (O/U) : 7.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Cubs at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 7, Cubs 2
Money line
The Mets are heavily favored in this game, and for good reason, as they own the 3rd-best record in MLB. Despite New York's high chances of winning on Monday, PASS on the money line due to the risks not being worth the reward with -300 odds.
Run line/Against the spread
METS -1.5 (-135) is a fantastic option in this game, especially with the lopsided pitching matchup. New York has won by multiple runs in each of its 6 wins since the start of September.
I believe New York can secure a multi-run lead early in this game, so METS -1.5 FIRST 5 INNINGS (+102) is worth a sprinkle at plus odds.
Over/Under
Plenty of runs have been scored in games involving the Mets recently, with 8 or more runs being plated in 9 of the 10 contests they've played this month. OVER 7.5 RUNS (-130) is where I'm going in this game due to the Cubs having an inexperienced pitcher taking the mound.
The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 games overall for the Mets and is 6-0 in their last 6 games following a win.
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