Chicago Cubs at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions
The Chicago Cubs (60-82) and New York Mets (89-54) will play the 7th and final game of their season series on Wednesday night at Citi Field. First pitch will be at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Cubs vs. Metsodds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Tied 3-3; Cubs have won the last 3 meetings.
The Cubs took the first 2 games of this series 4-1 and 5-2. They've only won 5 of their last 16 games overall, but they've had the Mets' number as of late. The offense hasn't scored more than 5 runs in any of their last 7 games, and on the year, the Cubs rank 23rd in runs scored (577).
The Mets had won 4 of their last 5 games before dropping the first 2 games to Chicago. The offense was red hot in their previous 5 games, scoring at least 9 runs 3 times in that span. The Mets have scored nearly 100 more runs (669) than the Cubs this season.
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Cubs at Mets projected starters
LHP Drew Smyly vs. LHP David Peterson
Smyly (6-8, 3.75 ERA) makes his 21st start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 98 1/3 IP.
- Was dominant in his last start, with 7 shutout IP and allowing just 1 H against the San Francisco Giants with 8 Ks
- The Cubs are 4-2 in his last 6 starts, a stretch during which he's allowed more than 2 runs only once
Peterson (7-4, 3.47 ERA) makes his 19th start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 98 2/3 IP.
- Struck out 7 batters in 3 2/3 innings during his last start, but allowed 3 R and took the loss Friday against the Miami Marlins
- Has only gone more than 6 innings once this season, and that was back in June against the Marlins
Cubs at Mets odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:09 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML) : Cubs +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Mets -205 (bet $205 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS) : Cubs +1.5 (-135) | Mets -1.5 (+110)
- Over/Under (O/U) : 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
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Cubs at Mets picks and predictions
Prediction
Mets 4, Cubs 2
Money line
The Cubs have had the Mets' number in their recent meetings, winning 3 straight. I think the Mets end that skid and get back on track after dropping 2 games in a row, but I'm not willing to lay the -205 line to take them straight-up.
PASS on the money line.
Run line/Against the spread
The Cubs might have a slight edge on the mound with Smyly coming off a fantastic start in his last outing, but Peterson hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in an appearance since June 15.
I like the METS -1.5 (+110) to cover the spread and win by a couple of runs in a low-scoring game.
Over/Under
The total has gone Under in 4 of the last 5 meetings between the Mets and Cubs, with no team scoring more than 5 runs in any of the last 5 games. This should be another low-scoring game between these teams, especially with 2 decent starters on the mound.
Bet the UNDER 7.5 (-107).
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