Michigan at Iowa odds, picks and predictions
The Michigan Wolverines (4-0, 1-0 Big Ten) and Iowa Hawkeyes (3-1, 1-0) clash in Iowa City Saturday. Kickoff at Kinnick Stadium is scheduled for noon ET (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Michigan vs. Iowaodds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Michigan defeated Maryland 34-27 last Saturday. RB Blake Corum rambled for 243 rushing yards and a pair of touchdowns. Corum is the lead edge of a Wolverine attack that has already produced 17 TD on the ground. UM has run for 230 yards or more in 3 of its 4 games and is averaging a robust 6.0 yards per attempt.
The Hawkeyes got by Rutgers in a defensive battle last week. Iowa won 27-10, with its defense scoring 2 of its 3 touchdowns. The Hawkeyes have allowed just 5.8 points and 236.3 yards per game through 4 contests.
These two programs clashed in the 2021 Big Ten Championship Game, and Michigan bludgeoned Iowa 42-3 (Dec. 4). The Wolverines have held the Hawkeyes without a touchdown in their last 2 meetings.
Michigan is No. 4 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
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Michigan at Iowa odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Michigan -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Iowa +380 (bet $100 to win $380)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Michigan -10.5 (-110) | Iowa +10.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Michigan at Iowa picks and predictions
Prediction
Michigan 27, Iowa 21
Money line
True odds are lost in the juice here. However, the midweek buy-in here has been perhaps a bit too tilted toward the visitors who will be in a Kinnick Stadium which has seen many a top-10 upset over the years.
Back the Hawkeyes if the tag hits +415 for the value. Otherwise, PASS.
Against the spread
Michigan played a bottom-of-the-barrel group-of-5 slate over its first 3 games and then had Maryland at home last week. It's in a tough environment contest for the first time this season, and the Wolverines may well be talented enough to take the offensively-challenged Hawkeyes by 14 to 20 points.
However, Iowa's defense could very well add to some 1st-half problems for UM - and enough so to make the home side the lean here.
It's a small lean: but consider a partial-unit play on IOWA +10.5 (-110).
Over/Under
Michigan's offense cranked out a combined 107 points in Week 1 and 2 while converting just 5-of-16 3rd downs. That offense was slowed a bit in its first real-speed, big-boy tackle football game last week vs. Maryland. Look for adjustments and a relative-to-the-competition strong performance by the UM offense Saturday.
Both these teams allow plenty of havoc and can convert on special teams. Look for some short-field scores and maybe defensive touchdowns.
It all makes for enough back-and-forth for there to be a moderate amount of value on the OVER 42.5 (-110).
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