NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Kevin Erickson

Sportsbook Wire

The Cleveland Cavaliers (41-26) kick off a 4-game road trip, and a back-to-back set, against the Miami Heat (35-31) Wednesday. Tip-off from Miami-Dade Arena is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook's lines around the Cavaliers vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Cavaliers nipped the Boston Celtics 118-114 in overtime on Monday as the Over (219) connected. Cleveland is 3-1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) over its last 4 games. The Over and Under have alternated in each of the previous 5 outings.

The Heat signed PF Kevin Love in late February after agreeing to a buyout by the Cavaliers, so he faces his former team for the first time - maybe. He has been dealing with an injury to his ribs, and he is officially listed as questionable.

Miami is coming off a 2-game sweep of the Atlanta Hawks, splitting ATS, most recently winning 130-128 but failing to cover as a 2.5-point home favorite Monday. The Heat are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games on a single day of rest.

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Cavaliers at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML) : Cavaliers -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Heat +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread (ATS) : Cavaliers -2.5 (-110) | Heat +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U) : 212.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Cavaliers at Heat key injuries

Cavaliers

None

Heat

F Kevin Love (ribs) questionable
G Kyle Lowry (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Cavaliers at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 109, Cavaliers 105

Moneyline

The HEAT (+115) are a solid value at home as short 'dogs against the Cavaliers.

Miami holds a 5-3 SU edge in the previous 8 meetings in this series, with the home team winning 7 of the past 10 overall. In addition, Cleveland has been dumped in each of its last 3 games on the road.

Against the spread

HEAT +2.5 (-110) is not as great of a value, but if you feel the Cavaliers are going to win by just 1 or 2 points, then skip the moneyline and take Miami with the insurance.

However, you'll be going against the grain a little here. Miami has covered at just a 10-25-1 ATS clip across the past 36 games at home while going 2-7 ATS in the previous 9 against winning teams.

Of course, Cleveland is just 3-13 ATS in the past 16 trips to Miami and 5-13 ATS in the past 18 meetings overall in the series.

Over/Under

OVER 212.5 (-110) is the lean, ever so slightly.

The Over has dominated for the Cavs lately, going 4-0 in the past 4 on the road and 6-2 in the past 8 games overall.

While the Heat has cashed the Under in 6 of the past 7 against winning sides, the Over is 7-1 in the previous 8 meetings with Cleveland at home.

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