Sports

ACC Tournament: Florida State vs. North Carolina odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle

Staff Writer

The No. 4 UNC Tar Heels (25-6) battle the Florida State Seminoles (17-15) in the quarterfinal of the ACC Tournament at Capital One Arena Thursday. Tip is set for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Florida State vs. North Carolinaodds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

North Carolina is No. 4 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. The Tar Heels are coming off an 84-79 road win Saturday over the No. 11 Duke Blue Devils, covering as a 4.5-point underdog. They have won 6 in a row and have covered in 4 of those. North Carolina is 17-13-1 against the spread (ATS).

The Seminoles finished the season 10-10 in conference play (UNC was 17-3). They beat the Virginia Tech Hokies 86-76 in the 2nd round of the ACC Tournament. Florida State entered as the No. 9 seed. The Seminoles have won 2 in a row, but have lost 6 of their last 10. They are 4-6 ATS over their last 10 and 15-15-2 ATS on the season.

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Florida State vs. North Carolina odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:02 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Florida State +390 (bet $100 to win $390) | North Carolina -530 (bet $530 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Florida State +9.5 (-102) | North Carolina -9.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 153.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Florida State vs. North Carolina picks and predictions

Prediction

North Carolina 82, Florida State 75

Moneyline

PASS.

The Tar Heels beat the Seminoles in both regular season matchups and should come out on top. They aren't worth a play at -530 though.

Against the spread

BET FLORIDA STATE +9.5 (-102).

The Tar Heels have not pulled away from Florida State in their 2 wins. They beat them by 8 at home, failing to cover as a 12.5-point favorite, and by 7 on the road, pushing as a 7-point favorite.

North Carolina has failed to cover in 5 of its last 9 games and is 2-3 ATS in its last 5 games as a favorite of 8 or more. FSU has covered in 3 of its last 6, and it did not have a double-digit loss to Duke or UNC this season.

Expect the Seminoles to keep things close and take FLORIDA STATE +9.5 (-102).

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 153.5 (-115).

The Seminoles have gone Over in 5 straight games, scoring at least 83 in 3 of their last 5. They have 3 players averaging double figures and 6 notching at least 7 points per game. They can score well, but they struggle to defend.

North Carolina can also score with ease, yet the Tar Heels have gone Over in just 3 of their last 7. But they have scored 79 or more in 3 straight games. Expect both teams to push the pace and take OVER 153.5 (-115).

The windows are open, North Carolina!

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