Big 12 Tournament: Baylor vs. Iowa State odds, picks and predictions

The No. 13 Baylor Bears (23-9) battle the No. 8 Iowa State Cyclones (25-7) Friday in the Big 12 Championship semifinals. Tip from T-Mobile Center in Las Vegas is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Baylor vs. Iowa Stateodds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Iowa State is No. 8 and Baylor is No. 13 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. The Cyclones and Bears both earned a double bye with Iowa State seeded 2nd and Baylor 3rd.

Iowa State beat the Kansas State Wildcats 76-57 Thursday, covering as an 8-point favorite. It has won 9 of its last 11 games and ended the regular season with a 13-5 conference record. The Cyclones are 8-3-1 against the spread (ATS) over their last 12 and 20-10-2 ATS on the season.

The Bears beat the Cincinnati Bearcats 68-56 Thursday, covering as a 7.5-point favorite. They have had some struggles of late but have won 4 of their last 5 games, going 3-1-1 ATS. Baylor is 18-10-3 ATS on the season.

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Baylor vs. Iowa State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:34 a.m. ET.

• Moneyline (ML): Baylor -108 (bet $108 to win $100) | Iowa State -111 (bet $111 to win $100)
• Against the spread (ATS): Baylor +1.5 (-120) | Iowa State -1.5 (-102)
• Over/Under (O/U): 136.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Baylor vs. Iowa State picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa State 70, Baylor 65

Moneyline

PASS.

The spread and moneyline are so similar that one should take the Iowa State spread for the better odds.

Against the spread

BET IOWA STATE -1.5 (-102).

The Cyclones have been hot of late, beating teams like the No. 21 BYU Cougars over their last 3 regular season games.

Iowa State lost by 2 on the road against Baylor on Feb. 3 despite shooting under 40% from the field while the Bears went over in both categories. If those balance out, the Cyclones should come out on top.

The Bears have also had their fair share of struggles, going 3-3 in their last 6 games and 1-3 in their last 4 games against ranked opponents. Take the hotter team and back IOWA STATE -1.5 (-102).

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 136.5 (-110).

Baylor has gone Under in 2 straight games, scoring 68 points in both. It has score 68 or fewer in 3 of its last 5 games and will be taking on a strong defensive side in Iowa State. The 1st matchup between these 2 went Under the 142.5 total.

The Cyclones have gone Under in 6 straight games, forcing their opponent to 65 or fewer in every one and helping them to below 60 in 3. Expect a gritty, hard-nosed game and back UNDER 136.5 (-110).

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