Big Ten Tournament: Michigan State vs. Purdue odds, picks and predictions
The Michigan State Spartans (19-13) battle the No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers (28-3) Friday in the quarterfinals of the Big Ten Tournament. Tip-off from Target Center is scheduled for noon ET (Big Ten Network). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Michigan State vs. Purdueodds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
The 8th-seeded Spartans beat the No. 9 Minnesota Golden Gophers 77-67 on Thursday in the 2nd round of the conference tournament. They covered the spread as a 7-point favorite and the Over (138) cashed. Senior G A.J. Hoggard led the way for MSU with 17 points, going 6-for-6 shooting from the field. The Spartans, who finished the regular season losing 3 of their last 4 games, haven't been to the Big Ten title game since 2019 when they beat Michigan 65-60.
The No. 3 Purdue Boilermakers finished the regular season on a 5-game winning streak and earned the top seed. The last time they took the court was Sunday in a 78-70 victory over the Wisconsin Badgers in West Lafayette. Purdue retired 1st-team All-American C Zach Edey's jersey on senior night at Mackey Arena. He finished with 25 points and 14 rebounds and became the 1st Big Ten player with 2,200 points and 1,200 rebounds. The Boilermakers are looking to return to the Big Ten title game for the 3rd consecutive year.
Michigan State lost 80-74 to Purdue on March 2 in their only meeting this season. The Spartans did cover the 10-point spread and the Over (144.5) cashed.
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Michigan State vs. Purdue odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:03 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Michigan State +235 (bet $100 to win $235) | Purdue -295 (bet $295 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Michigan State +6.5 (-102) | Purdue -6.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 143.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Michigan State vs. Purdue picks and predictions
Prediction
Purdue 80, Michigan State 68
Moneyline
PASS.
You should avoid betting Purdue (-295) as the juice is too much. Bet the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET PURDUE -6.5 (-102).
The Spartans are just overmatched in this game. I know that Tom Izzo typically owns the month of March, but the magic ends on Friday. Michigan State failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 to end the regular season.
Purdue has won 9 of their last 10 and have been to the Big Ten title game in back-to-back seasons. They are battle tested and ready to claim their 2nd consecutive Big Ten Tournament title. Edey scored 32 points with 11 rebounds in their March 2 meeting.
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Over/Under
BET OVER 143.5 (-110).
Purdue is a tough team to slow down offensively especially when they are feeding the big man down low. They have gone Over the total in 4 of their last 5 and 7 of their last 10. Their 1st matchup against Michigan State went way over, totaling 154. Michigan State typically likes to play a slower half-court game, but the Boilermakers will force a higher pace. The Spartans put up 77 points in their 1st-round game against Minnesota.
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