Miami Heat at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions
The Miami Heat (35-30) and Detroit Pistons (12-53) meet Friday at Little Caesars Arena. Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Pistons odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Miami leads 2-0
Miami tries to snap a 4-game skid on Friday night against the lowly Pistons in Detroit. They failed to cover the spread as a 3-point underdog on Wednesday against the Denver Nuggets, losing 100-88 as the Under (216.5) cashed. C Bam Adebayo's double-double (17 points and 13 rebounds) led 4 Heat starters scored in double-figures. Miami currently sits as the 8-seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs.
The Pistons beat the Toronto Raptors 113-104 on Wednesday night, their 3rd win in their last 4 outings. They covered the spread as a 3.5-point favorite and the Under (234) cashed. All 5 Detroit starters scored in double-figures led by a monster night from C Jalen Duran, who had 24 points and a career-high 23 rebounds.
Their last meeting was on March 5 with the Heat winning 118-110 in Miami. Detroit covered as an 11-point underdog and the Over (217.5) cashed.
Heat at Pistons odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:47 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat -350 (bet $350 to win $100) | Pistons +260 (bet $100 to win $260)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat -7.5 (-115) | Pistons +7.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Heat at Pistons key injuries
Heat
- No injuries reported yet
Pistons
- SG Ausar Thompson (illness) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Heat at Pistons picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 109, Pistons 105
Moneyline
PASS.
The Pistons could win this game outright, but I would feel better about taking them plus the points rather than straight up on the moneyline despite the juicy odds. I'll save my bet for the spread and/or total instead.
Against the spread
BET PISTONS +7.5 (-105).
Detroit seems to be turning a corner late in the season. They have a good young core that seems to be gelling now. They have won 3 of their last 4 and covered the spread in 4 of their last 5. The Pistons also covered the spread in both of their matchups with the Heat this season. I love Detroit to keep this game tight, if not win.
Over/Under
PASS.
I do not see any advantage either way on this bet. These teams are 4-6 going over the total in the last 10 meetings.
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