SEC Tournament: Florida vs. Alabama odds, picks and predictions
The No. 19 Alabama Crimson Tide (21-10) battle the Florida Gators (22-10) in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals Friday. Tip from Bridgestone Arena is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (SECN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Florida vs. Alabamaodds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.
Alabama is No. 19 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. The Crimson Tide beat the Arkansas Razorbacks 92-88 in overtime to end the regular season and snap a 2-game losing streak. They have lost 3 of their last 5 games and are 16-14-1 against the spread (ATS) on the season.
Alabama is 1-1 against Florida, winning at home in overtime and losing on the road by 18 on senior night. The Crimson Tide are 0-2 ATS against Florida this season.
The Gators beat the Georgia Bulldogs 85-80 Thursday in the 2nd round of the SEC Tournament. They won 6 of their last 9 and were ranked the week prior to losing at Vanderbilt. Florida has wins over Auburn, Alabama and Kentucky since Jan. 31. It is 15-16-1 ATS on the season.
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Florida vs. Alabama odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Florida +146 (bet $100 to win $146) | Alabama -178 (bet $178 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Florida +3.5 (-102) | Alabama -3.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 170.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Florida vs. Alabama picks and predictions
Prediction
Florida 88, Alabama 84
Moneyline
SPRINKLE FLORIDA (+146).
The spread is the better value, but the moneyline play offers enticing odds.
The Gators should still be fresh but have a taste of tournament play while having taken down Alabama in the regular season at home while forcing overtime on the road. Florida can hang with the Crimson Tide, and at this value, a moneyline play is worth a look.
Against the spread
BET FLORIDA +3.5 (-102).
Simply put, the Gators are the hotter team, winning 4 of their last 5. Alabama has lost 2 of its last 3, including one to Florida. The Crimson Tide are untrustworthy defensively which is their main flaw, ranking 105th in Kenpom's adjusted defensive rating.
Florida isn't much better at 88, but it is better while also sitting top 20 in offensive rating. The Gators are more balanced and have proven they can hang with the Crimson Tide.
BACK FLORIDA +3.5 (-102).
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Over/Under
LEAN OVER 170.5 (-110).
This is a lofty total. However, both teams have played fast and have been getting high totals all season and have been consistently hitting them. Both teams also sit top 20 in offensive rating and outside the top 85 in defensive rating.
The Gators have gone over in 5 straight games, scoring at least 83 in 3 of their last 5. They are 20-11-1 O/U on the season. Alabama has gone Over in 9 of its last 10 and has scored at least 87 in 7 of its last 8.
TAKE OVER 170.5 (-110).
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