New York Yankees at Houston Astros odds, picks and predictions
The New York Yankees (2-0) and Houston Astros (0-2) play the 3rd game of a 4-game series Saturday at Minute Maid Park. Start time will be at 7:15 p.m. ET (FOX). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Yankees vs. Astrosodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Yankees lead 2-0
New York has won the 1st 2 games of this series, and both have been in late-rally fashion. The Yankees won Friday's game 7-1, and New York pitchers helped their cause by continually pitching out of jams. They held Houston to a 1-of-12 mark with runners in scoring position.
With Friday's setback, the Astros are 0-2 to start a season for the 1st time since 2011. They have led off the innings of their 2 games at a .389 clip (on-base percentage), but Houston batters have scuffled in driving in runs so far. They have hit .182 with runners in scoring position.
Yankees at Astros projected starters
RHP Marcus Stroman vs. RHP Hunter Brown
Stroman went 10-9 with a 3.95 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.8 K/9 in 136 2/3 innings last season.
- Clocked a 2.61 ERA over 20 2/3 spring training innings
- Over his last 4 season-debut starts has allowed just 3 runs across 23 IP
Brown went 11-13 with a 5.09 ERA in 2023. He registered a 1.36 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 in 155 2/3 innings.
- Pitched around a .330 batting average on balls in play
- Struggled at Minute Maid Park, notching a 6.56 ERA in 15 starts
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Yankees at Astros odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Yankees +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Astros -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-175) | Astros -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Yankees at Astros picks and predictions
Prediction
Astros 4, Yankees 3
Moneyline
Hunter figures as being underrated. His .330 BABIP stands out as a key bad-luck indicator. He clocked a .354 BABIP in his home starts. The Houston righty was sharp out of the gate last season, logging a 2.37 ERA on a .544 OPS allowed. This spring training, he notched a 2.12 ERA in 17 IP.
New York is 2-0 and has scored 12 runs, but the Yanks have mostly sputtered offensively through the bulk of both contests.
FanDuel Sportsbook offers a better tag here. BACK THE ASTROS (-134).
Run line/Against the spread
The home 9 is the lean overall but so is the Under. Avoid the higher potential of a 1-run contest. PASS.
Over/Under
Houston's regular-season home series games against New York have seen the Under go 5-2-1 since 2022.
Stroman has a solid history of early-season success (.639 OPS allowed in March/April during his career). Pitchers have been ahead of hitters so far in this series, but that's hidden a bit in the 2 final scores.
BACK THE UNDER 9.5 (-110).
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