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Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Seth Orlemann
Staff Writer
Jun 11, 2024; Los Angeles, California, USA; Texas Rangers starting pitcher Dane Dunning (33) throws in the first inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

The Texas Rangers (33-37) and Seattle Mariners (42-31) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday. First pitch from T-Mobile Park is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Rangers vs. Marinersodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 4-1

The Rangers have lost back-to-back games after falling 7-5 against the Mariners Saturday and failing to cash as +108 road underdogs. Rangers 2B Marcus Semien led the way on offense with 3 RBIs, while RHP Nathan Eovaldi allowed 4 ER in 3 IP and picked up the loss.

The Mariners have won back-to-back games after Saturday's victory as -117 home favorites. Mariners 3B Josh Rojas had a team-high 3 RBIs, including a solo shot in the 7th inning, while RHP George Kirby allowed 0 ER in 6 IP to pick up the win.

Rangers at Mariners projected starters

RHP Dane Dunning vs. RHP Logan Gilbert

Dunning (4-5, 4.80 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 9.8 K/9 in 54 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 6 ER, 4 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 15-2 loss at Los Angeles Dodgers Tuesday
  • 2024 vs. Mariners: 0-1, 8.31 ERA (4 1/3 IP, 4 ER), 4 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 1 start, a 4-0 home loss April 23
  • Career vs. Mariners: 3-3, 4.67 ERA (44 1/3 IP, 23 ER), 1.38 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 in 9 starts

Gilbert (3-4, 3.19 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 90 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 8-4 win against Chicago White Sox Monday
  • 2024 vs. Rangers: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (6 2/3 IP), 2 H, 4 BB, 6 K in the road win April 23
  • Career vs. Rangers: 3-2, 2.59 ERA (66 IP, 19 ER), 1.00 WHIP, 8.2 K/9 in 11 starts

Who's going yard? Here's a breakdown of today's best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Rangers at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 9:16 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Rangers +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Mariners -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Rangers +1.5 (-190) | Mariners -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Rangers at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Rangers 2

Moneyline

PASS.

The run line has a better chance for profit on the Mariners (-135).

Run line/Against the spread

BET MARINERS -1.5 (+155).

Five of the last 6 Rangers losses have come by 2 or more runs, including Saturday night, while 4 of the Mariners' last 7 wins have come by 2 or more runs. For Texas, Dunning is coming off a 3 2/3-inning outing in which he allowed 6 ER, while Seattle starts Gilbert, who allowed 3 ER in 6 2/3 IP in his last start.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (-120).

The Under has hit in 4 of the previous 5 meetings between these teams this season. It has also hit in 3 of the Rangers' last 4 games, while the Over has failed to hit in 4 of the Mariners' last 5 games. Texas has scored 3 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 10, while Seattle has held opponents to 4 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 6.

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