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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Seth Orlemann
Staff Writer
Jun 19, 2024; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Boston Red Sox shortstop David Hamilton (70) steals second base ahead of the tag from Toronto Blue Jays second base Spencer Horwitz (48) during the fifth inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays (35-42) visit the Boston Red Sox (42-36) on Monday. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET (NESN). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Soxodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox went 3-0 in Toronto last week

Toronto has lost 6 games in a row after losing 6-5 to the Cleveland Guardians on Sunday as a +101 road underdog. 3B Spencer Horwitz had 2 HRs and 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also had 2 RBIs. LHP Yusei Kikuchi was the loser (4 ER in 2 IP).

Boston has won back-to-back games after taking down the Cincinnati Reds 7-4 on Sunday as a +140 road underdog. Three Red Sox players each had 2 RBIs while 7 players scored a run.

Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Chris Bassitt vs. RHP Tanner Houck

Bassitt (6-6, 3.52 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.63 BB/9 and 8.64 K/9 in 84 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 4-3 loss against the Red Sox Tuesday
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 2-0, 2.33 ERA (27 IP, 7 ER), 21 H, 8 BB, 27 K in 4 starts

Houck (7-5, 2.14 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 0.97 WHIP, 1.58 BB/9 and 8.75 K/9 in 96 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 4-3 win at the Blue Jays Tuesday
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 0-1, 4.26 ERA (25 1/3 IP, 12 ER), 20 H, 10 BB, 28 K in 5 starts

Who's going yard? Here's a breakdown of today's best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Blue Jays at Red Sox odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:51 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Blue Jays +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Red Sox -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays +1.5 (-165) | Red Sox -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Blue Jays 4

Moneyline

PASS.

The run line presents better profit for Boston in this matchup.

Run line/Against the spread

BET RED SOX -1.5 (+140).

Boston is 8-2 in its last 10 games including 7-1 in its last 8 and 3-1 in its last 4 at home. It has scored 7 or more runs in 6 of its last 10 games and faces a Blue Jays team that has lost 8 of its last 10 including each of its last 6. Toronto has scored 3 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 6 games.

Also, 5 of the Blue Jays' last 7 losses have been by multiple runs while 6 of Boston's last 8 wins have come by 2 or more runs.

Over/Under

BET OVER 9 (+100).

The Red Sox have an Over record of 6-3-1 in their last 10 games and have scored 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 10. They have allowed 3 or more runs in each of their last 10.

Toronto has an Over record of 4-4-2 in its last 10 games and has scored 3 or more runs in 8 of its last 10 while allowing 6 or more in 6 of its last 7.

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