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Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Skip Snow
Staff Writer
Jun 19, 2024; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Kevin Gausman (34) throws a pitch against the Boston Red Sox during the first inning at Rogers Centre. Mandatory Credit: Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays (35-43) and Boston Red Sox (43-36) clash Tuesday in the 2nd game of a 3-game AL East series at Fenway Park. First pitch is slated for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Blue Jays vs. Red Soxodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 5-0

Toronto was felled 7-6 in Monday's series opener. The loss marked the Blue Jays' 7th in a row.

Boston has won 3 consecutive games and is 8-1 over its last 9. The Red Sox have scored 7 or more runs in 6 of those 8 wins.

Blue Jays at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Kevin Gausman vs. RHP Brayan Bello

Gausman (5-6, 4.24 ERA) is making his 16th start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 80 2/3 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 4 K in 7-3 home defeat vs. Red Sox Wednesday
  • Career vs. Red Sox: 7-10, 4.52 ERA (137 1/3 IP, 69 ER), 1.25 WHIP, 9.4 K/9 in 24 starts and 5 relief appearances

Bello (7-4, 4.83 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.41 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 in 69 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 7-3 victory at Blue Jays Wednesday
  • Career vs. Blue Jays: 2-3, 5.40 ERA (30 IP, 18 ER), 1.70 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 in 6 starts

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Blue Jays at Red Sox odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:52 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Blue Jays -102 (bet $102 to win $100) | Red Sox -116 (bet $116 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Blue Jays -1.5 (+152) | Red Sox +1.5 (-184)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Blue Jays at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Blue Jays 3

Moneyline

Even with their recent play, the RED SOX (-116) still look to be undervalued in the standings and in betting markets. They are a plus-25 in run differential this month.

Gausman and Bello tussled last week, and Gausman was roughed up. Per ESPN, current Boston batters own an .864 OPS against the Toronto right-hander. And the Red Sox have the better bullpen.

BET BOSTON (-116) in Tuesday's game.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: Better value is available on the Red Sox outright play.

Over/Under

The Over is 4-1 in this year's season series, but look for a decent chance of pushback Tuesday.

Both starting pitchers have better expected-ERA figures than surface numbers. Being seen by the same club in back-to-back turns is not ideal, but the number here can be leveraged.

BACK THE UNDER 9 (-105).

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