Sports

Commissioner's Cup Final: Minnesota Lynx at New York Liberty odds, picks and predictions

Kevin Erickson

Staff Writer

May 28, 2023; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Minnesota Lynx forward Napheesa Collier (24) dribbles the ball against Las Vegas Aces center Kiah Stokes (41) during the second quarter at Michelob Ultra Arena. Mandatory Credit: Lucas Peltier-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Lynx (13-3) and New York Liberty (15-3) meet Tuesday in the Commissioner's Cup Final. Tip-off from UBS Arena in Elmont, N.Y., is slated for 8 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Lynx vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert WNBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Lynx lead 1-0

The Lynx head to Long Island on a roll, winning 6 consecutive games, while covering 4 of those outings. Minnesota has an impressive 12-4 against the spread (ATS) mark on the season. That includes an 84-67 home win May 25 vs. New York as a 7-point home underdog with the Under (167.5) cashing.

Minnesota shot 47.8% (32-of-67) from the field in the 1st meeting vs. New York, while going a blistering 50.0% (14-of-28) from behind the 3-point line. The Lynx have a plus-5 rebounding margin, and 8 more assists than the Liberty. F Napheesa Collier scored 15 points with 12 rebounds for the double-double, while adding 4 assists, 2 blocked shots and 2 steals.

New York has racked up 3 straight wins, while winning 11 of the past 12 outings. The Liberty have scored 90 or more points in each of the past 6 games, and the Over is 6-1 in the previous 7 contests.

This game won't count in the regular-season standings with it being the Commissioner's Cup Final.

Lynx at Liberty odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:14 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Lynx +186 (bet $100 to win $186) | Liberty -235 (bet $235 to win $100)
Against the spread: Lynx +5 (-112) | Liberty -5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 162.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Lynx at Liberty picks and predictions

Prediction

Liberty 89, Lynx 86

Moneyline

New York (-235) will cost 2.35 times your potential return. That's too much risk for not enough reward, at least as a standalone wager. As part of a Same-Game Parlay (SGP), playing the moneyline coupled with the total isn't a bad play.

PASS as far as a straight-up bet is concerned.

Against the spread

Taking MINNESOTA +5 (-112) with the points is the way to go. These 2 teams are rolling with New York on a 3-game win streak and 11 of its last 12, while Minnesota enters on a 6-game win streak.

It's hard to forget what happened exactly 1 calendar month ago when the Lynx embarrassed the Liberty 84-67 in the Twin Cities as 7-point underdogs.

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Over/Under

OVER 162.5 (-110) might be the best play on the board.

While the Lynx defense has been amazing lately, allowing just 57.5 PPG in the past 2 games against the Phoenix Mercury and Atlanta Dream, the offense has been on fire. Minnesota has piled up 80 or more points in 8 of its past 10 outings.

For the Liberty, they've scored 90 or more points in 6 consecutive contests, while allowing at least 80 points in 5 of the past 6 outings. The total has gone high in 4 in a row, and 6 of the past 7 contests.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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