Sports

Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds odds, picks and predictions

Corey Scott

Staff Writer

Cincinnati Reds shortstop Elly De La Cruz (44) heads for the clubhouse after the ninth inning of the MLB National League game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates at Great American Ball Park on Monday, June 24, 2024. The Reds won 11-5.

The Pittsburgh Pirates (37-41) and Cincinnati Reds (37-41) play the 2nd game of a 3-game set Tuesday. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Pirates vs. Redsodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Pirates lost 11-5 as +122 underdogs in the series opener Monday as the Over (9.5) hit. Pittsburgh has lost 3 of its last 4 games.

Reds SS Elly De La Cruz drove in 3 runs, including a 2-run HR in the 6th inning. LF Spencer Steer also had 3 RBIs for Cincinnati, which cashed as a -132 favorite.

Pirates at Reds projected starters

RHP Mitch Keller vs. RHP Hunter Greene

Keller (8-4, 3.11 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 in 92 2/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 7 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 1-0 home victory vs. Reds Wednesday
2024 road stats: 4-3, 3.83 ERA (47 IP, 20 ER), 1.30 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 8 starts
Career vs. Reds: 2-4, 5.45 ERA (72 2/3 IP, 44 ER), 1.56 WHIP, 8.8 K/9 in 15 starts

Greene (5-2, 3.35 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 9.9 K/9 in 88 2/3 IP.

Last start: No-decision, 6 1/3 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 0 BB, 9 K in Wednesday's loss at Pittsburgh
2024 home stats: 2-2, 4.02 ERA (47 IP, 21 ER), 1.28 WHIP, 10.0 K/9 in 8 starts
Career vs. Pirates: 0-2, 1.55 ERA (29 IP, 5 ER), 0.97 WHIP, 13.0 K/9 in 5 starts

Who's going yard? Here's a breakdown of today's best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Pirates at Reds odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:28 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pirates +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Reds -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Pirates +1.5 (-190) | Reds -1.5 (+155)
Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Pirates at Reds picks and predictions

Prediction

Reds 4, Pirates 3

Moneyline

The REDS (-125) should pick up where they left off in Monday's win. Greene has allowed a total of just 2 runs over his last 2 starts (11 1/3 IP), and Pittsburgh is averaging just 2.5 runs over its last 6 games.

BET REDS (-125).

Run line/Against the spread

The Pirates +1.5 (-190) will likely hit, but it's hard to beat MLB long term laying -190 on 35-cent lines.

PASS. Bet the ML and/or total instead.

Over/Under

Greene has allowed just 2 runs in 11 1/3 IP over his last 2 starts, and Keller has given up a total of just 4 runs over his last 3 outings (19 IP). The Pirates have scored 3 runs or fewer in 4 of their last 6 games, while the Reds have put up 4 or fewer in 7 of their last 9.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-110).

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