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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Seth Orlemann
Staff Writer
Jun 16, 2024; Chicago, Illinois, USA; St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Miles Mikolas (39) throws the ball against the Chicago Cubs during the first inning at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds (37-43) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (41-38) on Thursday. First pitch from Busch Stadium is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Reds vs. Cardinalsodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cardinals lead 2-1

Cincinnati has lost back-to-back games after falling 6-1 against Pittsburgh on Wednesday and failing to cover as a -132 home favorite. Held to just 4 hits, 2B Jonathan India was the only Reds player to have a RBI while RHP Graham Ashcraft allowed 6 ER in 5 1/3 innings to take the loss.

The Cardinals got back in the win column on Wednesday after winning the 2nd half of a doubleheader 4-1 against the Braves and covering as home underdogs. They lost the 1st game 6-2. RF Alec Burleson led the way on offense with 2 RBIs while LHP Matthew Liberatore allowed 0 ER in 6 innings to pick up the win.

Reds at Cardinals projected starters

LHP Andrew Abbott vs. RHP Miles Mikolas

Abbott (6-6, 3.40 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.76 BB/9 and 7.44 K/9 in 84 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 5-2 win against Boston Red Sox Friday.
  • Career vs. Cardinals: 1-2, 6.89 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 12 ER), 16 H, 8 BB, 10 K in 3 starts
  • Gave up 6 ER on 7 H in May 28 loss to Cardinals

Mikolas (6-6, 4.68 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.16 WHIP, 1.69 BB/9 and 6.68 K/9 in 90 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 9-4 win against San Francisco Giants Saturday.
  • Career vs. Reds: 5-7, 5.26 ERA (102 2/3 IP, 60 ER), 105 H, 23 BB, 72 K in 18 starts; last outing in 2023.

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Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:36 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Cardinals -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds +1.5 (-185) | Cardinals -1.5 (+150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 4, Reds 3

Moneyline

BET CARDINALS (-135).

St. Louis is 7-3 in its last 10 games and has won 5 of its last 6. It took 2 of 3 from Atlanta and swept San Francisco, both at home. The Reds have lost 7 of their last 10 games, including back-to-back games and 4 of their last 5, and have also dropped each of their last 4 series.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There is minimal value on the run line in this matchup.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 8.5 (-115).

The Under has hit in 7 of Cincinnati's last 10 games and in 2 of 3 of St. Louis'. Cincinnati has scored 4 or fewer runs in 7 of its last 10 games while holding opponents to 4 or fewer in 5 of its last 9 games. St. Louis has scored 4 or fewer runs in 5 of its last 10 games including each of its last 3 while allowing 4 or fewer in 4 of its last 5.

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