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Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals odds, picks and predictions

Payton Shanks
Staff Writer
Cincinnati Reds pitcher Hunter Greene (21) reacts after escaping the top of the fourth inning of the MLB National League game between the Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday, June 25, 2024. The Pirates won the second game of the series, 9-5.

The Cincinnati Reds (39-44) and St. Louis Cardinals (42-40) meet Sunday for the finale of a 4-game series. First pitch from Busch Stadium is set for 2:15 p.m. ET. Let's analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Reds vs. Cardinalsodds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 3-3

Cincinnati beat St. Louis 9-4 Saturday, cashing as a +176 road underdog. RHP Carson Spiers came away with the win, allowing 1 ER on 3 hits and 1 walk with 4 K's in 6 IP. The Reds are 2-1 in their last 3 games.

St. Louis moved to 1-2 in its last 3 outings with Saturday's loss. The Cardinals have allowed 9 or more runs in 2 of 3 games against the Reds in this series (both losses).

Reds at Cardinals projected starters

RHP Hunter Greene vs. RHP Lance Lynn

Greene (5-3, 3.79 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 92 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 9-5 home defeat vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Tuesday
  • Career vs. St. Louis: 1-3, 3.79 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.31 WHIP, 12.9 K/9 in 7 starts

Lynn (3-3, 3.86 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 81 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB, 5 K in 4-3 home victory over Atlanta Braves Monday
  • Career vs. Cincinnati: 12-5, 3.20 ERA (123 2/3 IP, 44 ER), 1.13 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 across 20 starts and 3 relief appearances

Who's going yard? Here's a breakdown of today's best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Reds at Cardinals odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 8:20 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Reds -116 (bet $116 to win $100) | Cardinals -102 (bet $102 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Reds -1.5 (+138) | Cardinals +1.5 (-166)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Reds at Cardinals picks and predictions

Prediction

Cardinals 7, Reds 3

Moneyline

LEAN CARDINALS (-102).

St. Louis enters as the slightly hotter team at 6-3 in its last 9 home games, while the Reds are only 5-5 in their last 10 overall. The Cardinals have also not taken back-to-back home losses since the beginning of May, when they lost 2 straight vs. the New York Mets.

This is only a lean because they've split the last 10 meetings 5-5 and are evenly matched, so a moneyline bet always comes with some risk.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I expect St. Louis to cover here as a +1.5 (-166) home underdog, but the line is too risky to bet on. Bet on the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7.5 (-115).

The Over has hit in 6 of St. Louis' last 9 home games and is 5-2 in Cincinnati's last 7 overall. The Over has also hit in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams in St. Louis.

Be aware that the Under is 6-4 in the last 10 matchups between these squads.

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