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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 10 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Near the Lesser and Greater Antilles (AL98):
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to increase in 
association with a tropical wave located roughly midway between the 
Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions 
appear conducive for gradual development of this system during the 
next several days while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 
15 to 20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. A tropical 
depression is likely to form by the early to middle part of next 
week while the system approaches and then moves near or over the 
Lesser Antilles, and interests there should monitor the progress of 
this system. Then, the system is forecast to move generally 
west-northwestward and could approach portions of the Greater 
Antilles by the middle to latter part of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.


Forecaster Reinhart