The US elections of 2024

Our coverage of the race for the White House

Latest coverage

Is Tim Walz the right vice-presidential running-mate for Kamala Harris?

Progressives like him, but the presidential candidate will need to find ways to win over moderates

Will America’s economy swing the election?

It is not entering recession, but it is slowing down. That is bad news for Kamala Harris


Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump in our nationwide poll tracker

It is the first lead for a Democratic contender since October 2023


Swing-state economies are doing just fine

They would be doing even better if the Biden-Harris administration had been more cynical

Can Kamala Harris win on the economy?

A visit to a crucial swing state reveals the problems she will face

America’s “left-behind” are doing better than ever

But manufacturing jobs are still in decline

Tim Walz’s life story is appealing, but his record is complex



Republicans

How the Trump campaign has become more professional

In Pennsylvania at least, it has upped its ground game

Can Donald Trump win back suburban voters?

In Michigan, Republicans are selling a kinder, gentler Trumpism to college-educated voters. It isn’t sticking yet


Where would Donald Trump and J.D. Vance take America?

The anti-globalist MAGA enthusiast is more consequential than the average veep pick


Why MAGA is the future, not just present, of the GOP

The selection of J.D. Vance means that Donald Trump’s influence may linger

Calling Donald Trump a threat to the rule of law has backfired

It strengthened him politically and led to constitutional protections for presidents, not citizens

J.D. Vance is now the heir apparent to the MAGA movement

What Donald Trump’s vice-presidential pick suggests about how he would govern



Democrats

Kamala Harris introduces “Coach” Tim Walz, her trusty running-mate

As Republicans seek to brand their rivals as dangerously liberal, Democrats are matching Donald Trump’s public displays of enthusiasm

The Kamala Harris effect on the polls has been dramatic

The latest surveys point to a tightening race


Could the Kamala Harris boost put Florida in play for Democrats?

Some party enthusiasts think so, but realists see re-energised campaigning there as a savvy Florida feint


Why Kamala Harris picked Tim Walz as her running-mate

Compared with a bolder but more divisive alternative, the Minnesota governor was the easier choice



Lexington

Politics is the law in Texas

A governor’s pardon implies that courts cannot be trusted, just as Donald Trump says


Why the Republicans will convene in a forge of American socialism

Donald Trump has made gains with Wisconsin’s working class, but Joe Biden could still win there


Joe Biden is practising some Clintonian politics

But he needs to do more than crack down on “junk fees” to woo swing voters

Truth Social is a mind-bending win for Donald Trump

And disturbing evidence of how he destabilises reality for Americans

Are American progressives making themselves sad?

Conservatives seem more excited about change



What’s at stake

How the election will shape the Supreme Court

A second Trump administration could lock in a conservative supermajority for decades

What the Chevron ruling means for the next US president

The Supreme Court weakened regulators and created uncertainty, inviting a “tsunami of lawsuits”


How America’s presidential debates are changing this year

Will the Trump-Biden showdowns be an institution’s last gasp, or a new start?


Five months out, Donald Trump has a clear lead

America’s presidential race is no coin flip, says our forecast



Our poll tracker and forecast model

US poll tracker

Donald Trump v Kamala Harris: what the polls say

Donald Trump has a three in four chance of winning the election

Our forecast model finds Mr Trump has a clear lead over Joe Biden


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